Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a warming trend across central Poland, with Warsaw likely experiencing peak highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 31 under sunny conditions, southerly winds, and high-pressure dominance that favors strong daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight around 34–36°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or local urban heat island effects that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical July extremes in Warsaw, where typical highs average near 24–26°C but occasional heat events push into the mid-30s; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 31?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 31?
35°C 37%
36°C 32%
34°C 25%
37°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
32°C or below
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
25%
35°C
37%
36°C
32%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
36°C 32%
34°C 25%
37°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
32°C or below
$35 Обс.
3%
33°C
$49 Обс.
6%
34°C
$73 Обс.
25%
35°C
$50 Обс.
37%
36°C
$83 Обс.
32%
37°C
$34 Обс.
7%
38°C
$44 Обс.
3%
39°C
$15 Обс.
2%
40°C
$38 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$38 Обс.
<1%
42°C or higher
$38 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a warming trend across central Poland, with Warsaw likely experiencing peak highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 31 under sunny conditions, southerly winds, and high-pressure dominance that favors strong daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight around 34–36°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or local urban heat island effects that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical July extremes in Warsaw, where typical highs average near 24–26°C but occasional heat events push into the mid-30s; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$394Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a warming trend across central Poland, with Warsaw likely experiencing peak highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 31 under sunny conditions, southerly winds, and high-pressure dominance that favors strong daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight around 34–36°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or local urban heat island effects that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical July extremes in Warsaw, where typical highs average near 24–26°C but occasional heat events push into the mid-30s; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$394Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a warming trend across central Poland, with Warsaw likely experiencing peak highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 31 under sunny conditions, southerly winds, and high-pressure dominance that favors strong daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight around 34–36°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or local urban heat island effects that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical July extremes in Warsaw, where typical highs average near 24–26°C but occasional heat events push into the mid-30s; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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