Current forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's July 31 high near 24–25 °C under partly sunny to sunny conditions, with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C, where small differences in maximum temperature hinge on factors such as daytime cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, yet typical diurnal variability and minor shifts in steering flow could still alter the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from global and regional models, along with official guidance from Russian meteorological services, will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on July 31?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 31?
25°C 35%
26°C 23%
24°C 20%
27°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
20%
25°C
35%
26°C
23%
27°C
17%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
3%
25°C 35%
26°C 23%
24°C 20%
27°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
20°C or below
$4,174 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$21 Обс.
3%
22°C
$119 Обс.
3%
23°C
$24 Обс.
10%
24°C
$75 Обс.
20%
25°C
$56 Обс.
35%
26°C
$0 Обс.
23%
27°C
$34 Обс.
17%
28°C
$5 Обс.
3%
29°C
$10 Обс.
7%
30°C or higher
$27 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's July 31 high near 24–25 °C under partly sunny to sunny conditions, with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C, where small differences in maximum temperature hinge on factors such as daytime cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, yet typical diurnal variability and minor shifts in steering flow could still alter the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from global and regional models, along with official guidance from Russian meteorological services, will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,544Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's July 31 high near 24–25 °C under partly sunny to sunny conditions, with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C, where small differences in maximum temperature hinge on factors such as daytime cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, yet typical diurnal variability and minor shifts in steering flow could still alter the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from global and regional models, along with official guidance from Russian meteorological services, will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,544Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Moscow's July 31 high near 24–25 °C under partly sunny to sunny conditions, with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26 °C, where small differences in maximum temperature hinge on factors such as daytime cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, yet typical diurnal variability and minor shifts in steering flow could still alter the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from global and regional models, along with official guidance from Russian meteorological services, will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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