Recent forecast models for Shenzhen on July 31 point to a daily high near 30°C, supported by expected thunderstorm activity, cloud cover, and typical subtropical monsoon humidity that limits extreme heating. This aligns with the city’s Pearl River Delta setting, where urban heat island effects routinely add 0.5–1°C above regional baselines during late July, when climatological averages reach 29–32°C. Recent observations, including the 33°C reading on July 22 that exceeded early guidance, underscore how small shifts in moisture or insolation can alter outcomes. Model consensus currently favors 29–31°C, though updated runs ahead of the date could adjust implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger onshore flow develop.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 31?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 31?
30°C 36%
29°C 23%
31°C 18%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
23%
30°C
36%
31°C
25%
32°C
14%
33°C or higher
3%
30°C 36%
29°C 23%
31°C 18%
32°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 31, 2026
23°C or below
$10 Обс.
1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C
$10 Обс.
2%
26°C
$17 Обс.
3%
27°C
$0 Обс.
4%
28°C
$0 Обс.
7%
29°C
$11 Обс.
23%
30°C
$240 Обс.
36%
31°C
$22 Обс.
25%
32°C
$0 Обс.
14%
33°C or higher
$124 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shenzhen on July 31 point to a daily high near 30°C, supported by expected thunderstorm activity, cloud cover, and typical subtropical monsoon humidity that limits extreme heating. This aligns with the city’s Pearl River Delta setting, where urban heat island effects routinely add 0.5–1°C above regional baselines during late July, when climatological averages reach 29–32°C. Recent observations, including the 33°C reading on July 22 that exceeded early guidance, underscore how small shifts in moisture or insolation can alter outcomes. Model consensus currently favors 29–31°C, though updated runs ahead of the date could adjust implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger onshore flow develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$432Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shenzhen on July 31 point to a daily high near 30°C, supported by expected thunderstorm activity, cloud cover, and typical subtropical monsoon humidity that limits extreme heating. This aligns with the city’s Pearl River Delta setting, where urban heat island effects routinely add 0.5–1°C above regional baselines during late July, when climatological averages reach 29–32°C. Recent observations, including the 33°C reading on July 22 that exceeded early guidance, underscore how small shifts in moisture or insolation can alter outcomes. Model consensus currently favors 29–31°C, though updated runs ahead of the date could adjust implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger onshore flow develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$432Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Shenzhen on July 31 point to a daily high near 30°C, supported by expected thunderstorm activity, cloud cover, and typical subtropical monsoon humidity that limits extreme heating. This aligns with the city’s Pearl River Delta setting, where urban heat island effects routinely add 0.5–1°C above regional baselines during late July, when climatological averages reach 29–32°C. Recent observations, including the 33°C reading on July 22 that exceeded early guidance, underscore how small shifts in moisture or insolation can alter outcomes. Model consensus currently favors 29–31°C, though updated runs ahead of the date could adjust implied probabilities if clearer skies or stronger onshore flow develop.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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