Current forecasts for Istanbul around August 5 position daily highs near 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with long-term August climatology showing average maxima of 27–29°C under typical Mediterranean high-pressure patterns and moderate humidity. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather indicates a stable warm regime with limited day-to-day variability, supporting the market-implied consensus favoring 29°C (54.5%) over cooler or hotter extremes. Official monitoring highlights minimal near-term disruption from transient systems, though short-range updates could refine exact maxima based on local sea-surface influences and wind patterns. Traders weigh these seasonal baselines against forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 5?
29°C 67%
28°C 33%
30°C 26%
26°C 25.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
13%
27°C
21%
28°C
33%
29°C
54%
30°C
26%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
29°C 67%
28°C 33%
30°C 26%
26°C 25.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$10 Обс.
1%
26°C
$15 Обс.
13%
27°C
$0 Обс.
21%
28°C
$0 Обс.
33%
29°C
$0 Обс.
54%
30°C
$0 Обс.
26%
31°C
$22 Обс.
4%
32°C
$10 Обс.
4%
33°C
$10 Обс.
2%
34°C or higher
$10 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul around August 5 position daily highs near 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with long-term August climatology showing average maxima of 27–29°C under typical Mediterranean high-pressure patterns and moderate humidity. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather indicates a stable warm regime with limited day-to-day variability, supporting the market-implied consensus favoring 29°C (54.5%) over cooler or hotter extremes. Official monitoring highlights minimal near-term disruption from transient systems, though short-range updates could refine exact maxima based on local sea-surface influences and wind patterns. Traders weigh these seasonal baselines against forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$77Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul around August 5 position daily highs near 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with long-term August climatology showing average maxima of 27–29°C under typical Mediterranean high-pressure patterns and moderate humidity. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather indicates a stable warm regime with limited day-to-day variability, supporting the market-implied consensus favoring 29°C (54.5%) over cooler or hotter extremes. Official monitoring highlights minimal near-term disruption from transient systems, though short-range updates could refine exact maxima based on local sea-surface influences and wind patterns. Traders weigh these seasonal baselines against forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$77Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Istanbul around August 5 position daily highs near 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with long-term August climatology showing average maxima of 27–29°C under typical Mediterranean high-pressure patterns and moderate humidity. Recent model guidance from sources like AccuWeather indicates a stable warm regime with limited day-to-day variability, supporting the market-implied consensus favoring 29°C (54.5%) over cooler or hotter extremes. Official monitoring highlights minimal near-term disruption from transient systems, though short-range updates could refine exact maxima based on local sea-surface influences and wind patterns. Traders weigh these seasonal baselines against forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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