Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily high near 35°C (95°F) for Shanghai on August 4, 2026, under overcast skies with limited precipitation, following hotter conditions of 37–38°C on August 2–3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs amid high humidity and subtropical influences, though model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover ahead of potential thunderstorms later in the week. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects these short-range model outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ account for uncertainty in exact steering patterns and urban heat island effects. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine land-based maximum readings used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
33%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$104 Обс.
2%
31°C
$61 Обс.
2%
32°C
$197 Обс.
5%
33°C
$204 Обс.
18%
34°C
$113 Обс.
38%
35°C
$391 Обс.
33%
36°C
$33 Обс.
10%
37°C
$35 Обс.
3%
38°C
$125 Обс.
5%
39°C or higher
$15 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily high near 35°C (95°F) for Shanghai on August 4, 2026, under overcast skies with limited precipitation, following hotter conditions of 37–38°C on August 2–3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs amid high humidity and subtropical influences, though model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover ahead of potential thunderstorms later in the week. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects these short-range model outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ account for uncertainty in exact steering patterns and urban heat island effects. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine land-based maximum readings used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,291Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily high near 35°C (95°F) for Shanghai on August 4, 2026, under overcast skies with limited precipitation, following hotter conditions of 37–38°C on August 2–3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs amid high humidity and subtropical influences, though model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover ahead of potential thunderstorms later in the week. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects these short-range model outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ account for uncertainty in exact steering patterns and urban heat island effects. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine land-based maximum readings used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,291Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daily high near 35°C (95°F) for Shanghai on August 4, 2026, under overcast skies with limited precipitation, following hotter conditions of 37–38°C on August 2–3. This aligns with typical August climatology of 31–35°C highs amid high humidity and subtropical influences, though model runs show slight cooling from increased cloud cover ahead of potential thunderstorms later in the week. Trader consensus clustering around 33–35°C reflects these short-range model outputs and historical analogs, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ account for uncertainty in exact steering patterns and urban heat island effects. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine land-based maximum readings used for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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