Trader sentiment reflects forecast uncertainty for Seattle's August 5 high, with market-implied odds clustered around 84–89°F as National Weather Service models show modest spread in peak readings. A building high-pressure ridge and limited marine layer influence from the Pacific are supporting daytime warming into the mid to upper 80s, while ensemble guidance highlights sensitivity to exact timing of any afternoon clearing. The leading 86–87°F outcome at 37% captures the central tendency of recent runs, yet 28.5% odds on 84–85°F underscore lingering model disagreement on boundary-layer mixing. Official updates from NOAA later today will likely narrow resolution criteria around observed maximums.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on August 5?
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 8.9%
$33,135 Обс.
$33,135 Обс.
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 37%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 8.9%
$33,135 Обс.
$33,135 Обс.
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects forecast uncertainty for Seattle's August 5 high, with market-implied odds clustered around 84–89°F as National Weather Service models show modest spread in peak readings. A building high-pressure ridge and limited marine layer influence from the Pacific are supporting daytime warming into the mid to upper 80s, while ensemble guidance highlights sensitivity to exact timing of any afternoon clearing. The leading 86–87°F outcome at 37% captures the central tendency of recent runs, yet 28.5% odds on 84–85°F underscore lingering model disagreement on boundary-layer mixing. Official updates from NOAA later today will likely narrow resolution criteria around observed maximums.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання