Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass will dominate Chicago on August 6, with limited warm advection and possible lake-breeze moderation keeping afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This synoptic setup, featuring lighter southerly winds and modest boundary-layer moisture, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 78–79 °F bin (37.5 %) and adjacent 76–81 °F ranges that together exceed 85 % implied probability. Climatologically, August 6 averages near 83.5 °F, so current guidance reflects a meaningful downward shift driven by the latest 850-hPa temperature fields and diurnal warming constraints. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast update for any revisions in cloud cover or wind direction that could alter peak readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 6?
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 23%
82-83°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 38%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 23%
82-83°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
73°F or below
$29 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$506 Обс.
7%
76-77°F
$73 Обс.
23%
78-79°F
$159 Обс.
38%
80-81°F
$216 Обс.
27%
82-83°F
$195 Обс.
9%
84-85°F
$579 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$73 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$106 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$391 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$386 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass will dominate Chicago on August 6, with limited warm advection and possible lake-breeze moderation keeping afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This synoptic setup, featuring lighter southerly winds and modest boundary-layer moisture, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 78–79 °F bin (37.5 %) and adjacent 76–81 °F ranges that together exceed 85 % implied probability. Climatologically, August 6 averages near 83.5 °F, so current guidance reflects a meaningful downward shift driven by the latest 850-hPa temperature fields and diurnal warming constraints. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast update for any revisions in cloud cover or wind direction that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,712Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass will dominate Chicago on August 6, with limited warm advection and possible lake-breeze moderation keeping afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This synoptic setup, featuring lighter southerly winds and modest boundary-layer moisture, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 78–79 °F bin (37.5 %) and adjacent 76–81 °F ranges that together exceed 85 % implied probability. Climatologically, August 6 averages near 83.5 °F, so current guidance reflects a meaningful downward shift driven by the latest 850-hPa temperature fields and diurnal warming constraints. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast update for any revisions in cloud cover or wind direction that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,712Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass will dominate Chicago on August 6, with limited warm advection and possible lake-breeze moderation keeping afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This synoptic setup, featuring lighter southerly winds and modest boundary-layer moisture, underpins the market’s heaviest weighting toward the 78–79 °F bin (37.5 %) and adjacent 76–81 °F ranges that together exceed 85 % implied probability. Climatologically, August 6 averages near 83.5 °F, so current guidance reflects a meaningful downward shift driven by the latest 850-hPa temperature fields and diurnal warming constraints. Traders will watch the next NWS forecast update for any revisions in cloud cover or wind direction that could alter peak readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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