Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F for Chicago on August 5, with lake-moderated conditions and light southwesterly flow favoring the 80–83°F range that dominates trader positioning. Diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports modest warming, while any strengthening lake breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover from nearby showers could cap readings in the low 80s. Historical August variability shows daily highs routinely fluctuate 5–7°F around the 83.6°F climatological value, and current short-range forecasts exhibit limited spread without strong warm or cool advection. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of official observations at O’Hare or Midway airports on resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 5?
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 9.8%
НОВЕ
$26,847 Обс.
НОВЕ
$26,847 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 33%
82-83°F 24%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 9.8%
НОВЕ
$26,847 Обс.
НОВЕ
$26,847 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
$7,350 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,744 Обс.
9%
78-79°F
$2,184 Обс.
18%
80-81°F
$4,052 Обс.
33%
82-83°F
$1,676 Обс.
24%
84-85°F
$3,930 Обс.
10%
86-87°F
$1,937 Обс.
5%
88-89°F
$1,421 Обс.
1%
90-91°F
$547 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$524 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$483 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F for Chicago on August 5, with lake-moderated conditions and light southwesterly flow favoring the 80–83°F range that dominates trader positioning. Diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports modest warming, while any strengthening lake breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover from nearby showers could cap readings in the low 80s. Historical August variability shows daily highs routinely fluctuate 5–7°F around the 83.6°F climatological value, and current short-range forecasts exhibit limited spread without strong warm or cool advection. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of official observations at O’Hare or Midway airports on resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,847Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F for Chicago on August 5, with lake-moderated conditions and light southwesterly flow favoring the 80–83°F range that dominates trader positioning. Diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports modest warming, while any strengthening lake breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover from nearby showers could cap readings in the low 80s. Historical August variability shows daily highs routinely fluctuate 5–7°F around the 83.6°F climatological value, and current short-range forecasts exhibit limited spread without strong warm or cool advection. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of official observations at O’Hare or Midway airports on resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$26,847Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a high near the seasonal normal of 83–84°F for Chicago on August 5, with lake-moderated conditions and light southwesterly flow favoring the 80–83°F range that dominates trader positioning. Diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies supports modest warming, while any strengthening lake breeze or increased afternoon cloud cover from nearby showers could cap readings in the low 80s. Historical August variability shows daily highs routinely fluctuate 5–7°F around the 83.6°F climatological value, and current short-range forecasts exhibit limited spread without strong warm or cool advection. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band and the influence of official observations at O’Hare or Midway airports on resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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