**Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum for August 7 near 24–26 °C, producing the tight 26 °C (38 %) versus 27 °C (37.5 %) market split.** Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds on the forecast maps create small but decisive differences in how much temperatures fall after sunset. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo further compress the overnight range, keeping readings above the seasonal normal minimum of ~23.9 °C. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions to cloud or wind forecasts expected before resolution; modest shifts in these variables can easily move the recorded low across the 26–27 °C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 7?
27°C 44%
28°C 11%
25°C 10%
24°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
47%
27°C
44%
28°C
11%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
28°C 11%
25°C 10%
24°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$45 Обс.
1%
23°C
$50 Обс.
1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
9%
25°C
$0 Обс.
10%
26°C
$0 Обс.
47%
27°C
$0 Обс.
44%
28°C
$0 Обс.
11%
29°C
$0 Обс.
9%
30°C
$45 Обс.
1%
31°C
$45 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum for August 7 near 24–26 °C, producing the tight 26 °C (38 %) versus 27 °C (37.5 %) market split.** Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds on the forecast maps create small but decisive differences in how much temperatures fall after sunset. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo further compress the overnight range, keeping readings above the seasonal normal minimum of ~23.9 °C. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions to cloud or wind forecasts expected before resolution; modest shifts in these variables can easily move the recorded low across the 26–27 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$197Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum for August 7 near 24–26 °C, producing the tight 26 °C (38 %) versus 27 °C (37.5 %) market split.** Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds on the forecast maps create small but decisive differences in how much temperatures fall after sunset. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo further compress the overnight range, keeping readings above the seasonal normal minimum of ~23.9 °C. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions to cloud or wind forecasts expected before resolution; modest shifts in these variables can easily move the recorded low across the 26–27 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$197Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum for August 7 near 24–26 °C, producing the tight 26 °C (38 %) versus 27 °C (37.5 %) market split.** Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds on the forecast maps create small but decisive differences in how much temperatures fall after sunset. Urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo further compress the overnight range, keeping readings above the seasonal normal minimum of ~23.9 °C. Traders are weighting the latest ensemble guidance and any revisions to cloud or wind forecasts expected before resolution; modest shifts in these variables can easily move the recorded low across the 26–27 °C threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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