Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 6 point to a high near 72°F under strengthening onshore flow and a shallow marine layer, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. Persistent northwest winds and the cold California Current typically cap coastal maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s during early August, well below interior heat. Recent model runs show minimal warming from a weak high-pressure ridge, keeping the marine layer compressed near 1,500 feet and limiting afternoon solar heating. Historical climatology places early-August averages around 70°F, with rare excursions above 75°F absent strong offshore flow. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing strengthens.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 6?
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 6%
$15,362 Обс.
$15,362 Обс.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 43%
72-73°F 24%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 6%
$15,362 Обс.
$15,362 Обс.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 6 point to a high near 72°F under strengthening onshore flow and a shallow marine layer, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins. Persistent northwest winds and the cold California Current typically cap coastal maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s during early August, well below interior heat. Recent model runs show minimal warming from a weak high-pressure ridge, keeping the marine layer compressed near 1,500 feet and limiting afternoon solar heating. Historical climatology places early-August averages around 70°F, with rare excursions above 75°F absent strong offshore flow. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing strengthens.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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