Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a warming trend under high pressure, with sunny intervals supporting a maximum of 28–29°C in London on August 8, above the month’s 22°C climatological average. Model consensus points to light winds and minimal cloud initially, though some guidance introduces light showers or increased cover that could cap the peak nearer 27°C. This uncertainty, combined with historical variability in daily maxima during similar setups, underpins trader positioning, where 27°C and 28°C hold the highest implied probabilities at 41.5% and 27.5%. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the Met Office will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 8?
Highest temperature in London on August 8?
27°C 42%
28°C 28%
26°C 19%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
19%
27°C
42%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 28%
26°C 19%
29°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
$347 Обс.
1%
24°C
$331 Обс.
1%
25°C
$557 Обс.
3%
26°C
$949 Обс.
19%
27°C
$2,956 Обс.
42%
28°C
$1,532 Обс.
28%
29°C
$716 Обс.
7%
30°C
$563 Обс.
2%
31°C
$320 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$514 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$501 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a warming trend under high pressure, with sunny intervals supporting a maximum of 28–29°C in London on August 8, above the month’s 22°C climatological average. Model consensus points to light winds and minimal cloud initially, though some guidance introduces light showers or increased cover that could cap the peak nearer 27°C. This uncertainty, combined with historical variability in daily maxima during similar setups, underpins trader positioning, where 27°C and 28°C hold the highest implied probabilities at 41.5% and 27.5%. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the Met Office will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,286Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a warming trend under high pressure, with sunny intervals supporting a maximum of 28–29°C in London on August 8, above the month’s 22°C climatological average. Model consensus points to light winds and minimal cloud initially, though some guidance introduces light showers or increased cover that could cap the peak nearer 27°C. This uncertainty, combined with historical variability in daily maxima during similar setups, underpins trader positioning, where 27°C and 28°C hold the highest implied probabilities at 41.5% and 27.5%. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the Met Office will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,286Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a warming trend under high pressure, with sunny intervals supporting a maximum of 28–29°C in London on August 8, above the month’s 22°C climatological average. Model consensus points to light winds and minimal cloud initially, though some guidance introduces light showers or increased cover that could cap the peak nearer 27°C. This uncertainty, combined with historical variability in daily maxima during similar setups, underpins trader positioning, where 27°C and 28°C hold the highest implied probabilities at 41.5% and 27.5%. Updated model runs and any overnight observational shifts from the Met Office will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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