**High pressure over the UK is driving a settled, sunny spell that favors peak temperatures in the low 30s Celsius for London on August 9.** Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an anticyclonic pattern with light southerly or variable winds advecting warmer air from the continent, combined with clear skies that maximize solar insolation during the longest day hours. This setup follows early-August heatwave conditions that already pushed southern England into the mid-30s, leaving residual warmth in the boundary layer. Model consensus points to a maximum near 31–32 °C at official sites (e.g., Heathrow or St James’s Park), where the urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C relative to rural surroundings. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C outcomes hinge on subtle variables: exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether any weak Atlantic front arrives marginally earlier than currently modeled. These factors produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 30–32 °C band, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs that keep the warmest air over southeast England through the afternoon of the 9th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 9?
31°C 36%
30°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
27%
31°C
36%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 27%
32°C 16%
29°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
27%
31°C
36%
32°C
16%
33°C
8%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High pressure over the UK is driving a settled, sunny spell that favors peak temperatures in the low 30s Celsius for London on August 9.** Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight an anticyclonic pattern with light southerly or variable winds advecting warmer air from the continent, combined with clear skies that maximize solar insolation during the longest day hours. This setup follows early-August heatwave conditions that already pushed southern England into the mid-30s, leaving residual warmth in the boundary layer. Model consensus points to a maximum near 31–32 °C at official sites (e.g., Heathrow or St James’s Park), where the urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C relative to rural surroundings. Small differences among 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C outcomes hinge on subtle variables: exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether any weak Atlantic front arrives marginally earlier than currently modeled. These factors produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 30–32 °C band, with traders weighting the latest high-resolution runs that keep the warmest air over southeast England through the afternoon of the 9th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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