Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to daytime highs of 32–34°C on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southwesterly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers moderating peak readings. These align with August climatology of 31–32°C averages while allowing for urban heat-island amplification or brief clearer spells that could push isolated stations to 34–35°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 33°C and 34°C because ensemble guidance shows low spread in steering patterns and moisture, with resolution hinging on the official maximum across designated stations rather than model point forecasts. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any convective timing that could suppress or elevate the daily extreme.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
34°C 43%
33°C 35%
35°C 10%
32°C 7%
НОВЕ
$18,772 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,772 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
35%
34°C
43%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 35%
35°C 10%
32°C 7%
НОВЕ
$18,772 Обс.
НОВЕ
$18,772 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
$1,673 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$757 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,396 Обс.
1%
32°C
$1,465 Обс.
7%
33°C
$1,675 Обс.
35%
34°C
$1,900 Обс.
43%
35°C
$3,734 Обс.
10%
36°C
$3,204 Обс.
4%
37°C
$1,135 Обс.
1%
38°C
$416 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,418 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to daytime highs of 32–34°C on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southwesterly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers moderating peak readings. These align with August climatology of 31–32°C averages while allowing for urban heat-island amplification or brief clearer spells that could push isolated stations to 34–35°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 33°C and 34°C because ensemble guidance shows low spread in steering patterns and moisture, with resolution hinging on the official maximum across designated stations rather than model point forecasts. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any convective timing that could suppress or elevate the daily extreme.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,772Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to daytime highs of 32–34°C on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southwesterly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers moderating peak readings. These align with August climatology of 31–32°C averages while allowing for urban heat-island amplification or brief clearer spells that could push isolated stations to 34–35°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 33°C and 34°C because ensemble guidance shows low spread in steering patterns and moisture, with resolution hinging on the official maximum across designated stations rather than model point forecasts. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any convective timing that could suppress or elevate the daily extreme.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$18,772Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models point to daytime highs of 32–34°C on August 7 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southwesterly flow, high humidity, and scattered showers moderating peak readings. These align with August climatology of 31–32°C averages while allowing for urban heat-island amplification or brief clearer spells that could push isolated stations to 34–35°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 33°C and 34°C because ensemble guidance shows low spread in steering patterns and moisture, with resolution hinging on the official maximum across designated stations rather than model point forecasts. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any convective timing that could suppress or elevate the daily extreme.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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