**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 28–29°C as the dominant outcomes (combined ~77% implied probability), driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and frequent localized thunderstorms expected to suppress daytime maxima below climatological norms.** PAGASA and AccuWeather outlooks indicate scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, with highs typically forecast in the 29–32°C range amid high humidity and cloud cover that limits solar heating. These conditions align with August's rainy-season pattern, where average highs hover near 31°C but frequently drop when convection develops. Recent model guidance and observational trends show persistent moisture from the monsoon trough, increasing the likelihood of afternoon/evening storms that cap peak readings around 29°C—the market's strongest consensus. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ reflect the modest chance of clearer breaks allowing brief warming, while colder outcomes remain remote given baseline warmth and humidity. Updated PAGASA briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key for any shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 8?
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 20%
27°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
29%
29°C
49%
30°C
20%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 20%
27°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
$500 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$466 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$521 Обс.
1%
27°C
$544 Обс.
3%
28°C
$2,052 Обс.
29%
29°C
$1,398 Обс.
49%
30°C
$1,049 Обс.
20%
31°C
$1,174 Обс.
3%
32°C
$414 Обс.
1%
33°C
$533 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$618 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 28–29°C as the dominant outcomes (combined ~77% implied probability), driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and frequent localized thunderstorms expected to suppress daytime maxima below climatological norms.**
PAGASA and AccuWeather outlooks indicate scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, with highs typically forecast in the 29–32°C range amid high humidity and cloud cover that limits solar heating. These conditions align with August's rainy-season pattern, where average highs hover near 31°C but frequently drop when convection develops. Recent model guidance and observational trends show persistent moisture from the monsoon trough, increasing the likelihood of afternoon/evening storms that cap peak readings around 29°C—the market's strongest consensus. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ reflect the modest chance of clearer breaks allowing brief warming, while colder outcomes remain remote given baseline warmth and humidity. Updated PAGASA briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key for any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,268Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 28–29°C as the dominant outcomes (combined ~77% implied probability), driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and frequent localized thunderstorms expected to suppress daytime maxima below climatological norms.**
PAGASA and AccuWeather outlooks indicate scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, with highs typically forecast in the 29–32°C range amid high humidity and cloud cover that limits solar heating. These conditions align with August's rainy-season pattern, where average highs hover near 31°C but frequently drop when convection develops. Recent model guidance and observational trends show persistent moisture from the monsoon trough, increasing the likelihood of afternoon/evening storms that cap peak readings around 29°C—the market's strongest consensus. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ reflect the modest chance of clearer breaks allowing brief warming, while colder outcomes remain remote given baseline warmth and humidity. Updated PAGASA briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key for any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,268Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 28–29°C as the dominant outcomes (combined ~77% implied probability), driven by the ongoing southwest monsoon and frequent localized thunderstorms expected to suppress daytime maxima below climatological norms.** PAGASA and AccuWeather outlooks indicate scattered rain showers and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, with highs typically forecast in the 29–32°C range amid high humidity and cloud cover that limits solar heating. These conditions align with August's rainy-season pattern, where average highs hover near 31°C but frequently drop when convection develops. Recent model guidance and observational trends show persistent moisture from the monsoon trough, increasing the likelihood of afternoon/evening storms that cap peak readings around 29°C—the market's strongest consensus. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ reflect the modest chance of clearer breaks allowing brief warming, while colder outcomes remain remote given baseline warmth and humidity. Updated PAGASA briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key for any shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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