Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 26–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while daytime peaks remain in the low 30s°C. Recent forecast runs show modest cooling relative to early-August heat, consistent with seasonal climatology for the Yangtze River delta where average August lows hover around 25–26°C. Trader positioning, with 27°C at 45% implied probability, aligns closely with this model consensus and the low probability assigned to extremes below 25°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution around official station observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
27°C 45%
28°C 30%
26°C 19%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
19%
27°C
45%
28°C
30%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 30%
26°C 19%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
22°C or below
$47 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$22 Обс.
4%
24°C
$35 Обс.
4%
25°C
$40 Обс.
6%
26°C
$176 Обс.
19%
27°C
$77 Обс.
45%
28°C
$83 Обс.
30%
29°C
$68 Обс.
6%
30°C
$55 Обс.
1%
31°C
$52 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 26–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while daytime peaks remain in the low 30s°C. Recent forecast runs show modest cooling relative to early-August heat, consistent with seasonal climatology for the Yangtze River delta where average August lows hover around 25–26°C. Trader positioning, with 27°C at 45% implied probability, aligns closely with this model consensus and the low probability assigned to extremes below 25°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution around official station observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$678Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 26–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while daytime peaks remain in the low 30s°C. Recent forecast runs show modest cooling relative to early-August heat, consistent with seasonal climatology for the Yangtze River delta where average August lows hover around 25–26°C. Trader positioning, with 27°C at 45% implied probability, aligns closely with this model consensus and the low probability assigned to extremes below 25°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution around official station observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$678Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 26–28°C amid persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling overnight while daytime peaks remain in the low 30s°C. Recent forecast runs show modest cooling relative to early-August heat, consistent with seasonal climatology for the Yangtze River delta where average August lows hover around 25–26°C. Trader positioning, with 27°C at 45% implied probability, aligns closely with this model consensus and the low probability assigned to extremes below 25°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution around official station observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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