Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the 28–31°C range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C. This reflects an incoming weather system, including potential influences from Typhoon Dolphin, expected to increase cloud cover, rainfall, and onshore flow, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer climatological average of 31–32°C. Model consensus points to overcast conditions and possible heavy rain on August 9, though exact timing and intensity remain uncertain, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers of any further shifts in market positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
29°C 32%
30°C 31%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
31%
31°C
21%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
2%
29°C 32%
30°C 31%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$1,091 Обс.
2%
25°C
$533 Обс.
1%
26°C
$171 Обс.
6%
27°C
$362 Обс.
5%
28°C
$510 Обс.
13%
29°C
$376 Обс.
32%
30°C
$42 Обс.
31%
31°C
$62 Обс.
21%
32°C
$35 Обс.
6%
33°C
$65 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$12 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the 28–31°C range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C. This reflects an incoming weather system, including potential influences from Typhoon Dolphin, expected to increase cloud cover, rainfall, and onshore flow, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer climatological average of 31–32°C. Model consensus points to overcast conditions and possible heavy rain on August 9, though exact timing and intensity remain uncertain, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers of any further shifts in market positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,259Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the 28–31°C range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C. This reflects an incoming weather system, including potential influences from Typhoon Dolphin, expected to increase cloud cover, rainfall, and onshore flow, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer climatological average of 31–32°C. Model consensus points to overcast conditions and possible heavy rain on August 9, though exact timing and intensity remain uncertain, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers of any further shifts in market positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,259Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s August 9 maximum will likely fall in the 28–31°C range, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–31°C. This reflects an incoming weather system, including potential influences from Typhoon Dolphin, expected to increase cloud cover, rainfall, and onshore flow, suppressing peak temperatures below the typical late-summer climatological average of 31–32°C. Model consensus points to overcast conditions and possible heavy rain on August 9, though exact timing and intensity remain uncertain, creating the narrow spread among leading outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined numerical guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers of any further shifts in market positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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