Current short-range weather models from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting mostly clear skies and light winds that favor a maximum temperature of 38–39 °C in Madrid on 7 August. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 37 °C and 39 °C, reflecting typical late-summer climatology for the region and limited moisture or frontal activity to moderate daytime heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 38 °C (55.5 %) and 39 °C (38.5 %) therefore mirrors this consensus forecast, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model updates released overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
38°C 56%
39°C 39%
37°C 6%
40°C 4%
НОВЕ
$11,156 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,156 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
6%
38°C
56%
39°C
39%
40°C
4%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 56%
39°C 39%
37°C 6%
40°C 4%
НОВЕ
$11,156 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,156 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
$459 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$347 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,796 Обс.
6%
38°C
$3,298 Обс.
56%
39°C
$2,538 Обс.
39%
40°C
$622 Обс.
4%
41°C
$577 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$481 Обс.
<1%
43°C
$410 Обс.
<1%
44°C
$231 Обс.
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range weather models from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting mostly clear skies and light winds that favor a maximum temperature of 38–39 °C in Madrid on 7 August. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 37 °C and 39 °C, reflecting typical late-summer climatology for the region and limited moisture or frontal activity to moderate daytime heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 38 °C (55.5 %) and 39 °C (38.5 %) therefore mirrors this consensus forecast, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model updates released overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,156Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range weather models from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting mostly clear skies and light winds that favor a maximum temperature of 38–39 °C in Madrid on 7 August. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 37 °C and 39 °C, reflecting typical late-summer climatology for the region and limited moisture or frontal activity to moderate daytime heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 38 °C (55.5 %) and 39 °C (38.5 %) therefore mirrors this consensus forecast, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model updates released overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,156Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range weather models from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Spain, supporting mostly clear skies and light winds that favor a maximum temperature of 38–39 °C in Madrid on 7 August. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 37 °C and 39 °C, reflecting typical late-summer climatology for the region and limited moisture or frontal activity to moderate daytime heating. The market’s heavy weighting toward 38 °C (55.5 %) and 39 °C (38.5 %) therefore mirrors this consensus forecast, while lower-probability outcomes hinge on any last-minute shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model updates released overnight.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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