**Recent cooling from a cold front passage and persistent wildfire smoke are the main drivers behind trader expectations for a Denver high temperature centered on 84–87°F today.** Official National Weather Service forecasts currently call for a high near 88–89°F under mostly sunny skies with patchy smoke, following several days of extreme heat that pushed readings into the upper 90s and low 100s. Smoke from regional wildfires is reducing solar heating, while post-frontal northerly flow and drier air have lowered the expected peak by several degrees relative to pre-frontal conditions. Historical norms for early August place the average high near 87–89°F, but the current setup—with limited moisture return and lingering haze—supports the market-implied clustering around the mid-80s. Later-day model updates or clearing skies could still nudge readings toward 88–89°F, which is why that bin retains secondary probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 5?
84-85°F 99.6%
86-87°F 2%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$62,328 Обс.
$62,328 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 99.6%
86-87°F 2%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$62,328 Обс.
$62,328 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
$4,615 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$7,269 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,742 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$6,967 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$6,180 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$7,106 Обс.
100%
86-87°F
$7,651 Обс.
2%
88-89°F
$8,081 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$5,711 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$3,286 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$1,719 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooling from a cold front passage and persistent wildfire smoke are the main drivers behind trader expectations for a Denver high temperature centered on 84–87°F today.** Official National Weather Service forecasts currently call for a high near 88–89°F under mostly sunny skies with patchy smoke, following several days of extreme heat that pushed readings into the upper 90s and low 100s. Smoke from regional wildfires is reducing solar heating, while post-frontal northerly flow and drier air have lowered the expected peak by several degrees relative to pre-frontal conditions. Historical norms for early August place the average high near 87–89°F, but the current setup—with limited moisture return and lingering haze—supports the market-implied clustering around the mid-80s. Later-day model updates or clearing skies could still nudge readings toward 88–89°F, which is why that bin retains secondary probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$62,328Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cooling from a cold front passage and persistent wildfire smoke are the main drivers behind trader expectations for a Denver high temperature centered on 84–87°F today.** Official National Weather Service forecasts currently call for a high near 88–89°F under mostly sunny skies with patchy smoke, following several days of extreme heat that pushed readings into the upper 90s and low 100s. Smoke from regional wildfires is reducing solar heating, while post-frontal northerly flow and drier air have lowered the expected peak by several degrees relative to pre-frontal conditions. Historical norms for early August place the average high near 87–89°F, but the current setup—with limited moisture return and lingering haze—supports the market-implied clustering around the mid-80s. Later-day model updates or clearing skies could still nudge readings toward 88–89°F, which is why that bin retains secondary probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$62,328Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cooling from a cold front passage and persistent wildfire smoke are the main drivers behind trader expectations for a Denver high temperature centered on 84–87°F today.** Official National Weather Service forecasts currently call for a high near 88–89°F under mostly sunny skies with patchy smoke, following several days of extreme heat that pushed readings into the upper 90s and low 100s. Smoke from regional wildfires is reducing solar heating, while post-frontal northerly flow and drier air have lowered the expected peak by several degrees relative to pre-frontal conditions. Historical norms for early August place the average high near 87–89°F, but the current setup—with limited moisture return and lingering haze—supports the market-implied clustering around the mid-80s. Later-day model updates or clearing skies could still nudge readings toward 88–89°F, which is why that bin retains secondary probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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