National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Denver’s August 7 high temperature in the upper 90s, with most runs converging on 97–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal moisture. Recent multi-day heat across the Front Range has elevated surface temperatures and reduced evaporative cooling, yet patchy smoke and subtle upslope flow introduce modest uncertainty in maximum readings. These verified conditions explain why the market assigns 43.5 % implied probability to 96–97 °F and 35.5 % to 98–99 °F, while lower-probability bins reflect the limited but real chance of model shifts or localized cooling before the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 7?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 7?
96-97°F 47%
98-99°F 31%
94-95°F 17%
100-101°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
47%
98-99°F
31%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 47%
98-99°F 31%
94-95°F 17%
100-101°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
87°F or below
$1,146 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$174 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$349 Обс.
2%
92-93°F
$668 Обс.
4%
94-95°F
$459 Обс.
17%
96-97°F
$1,303 Обс.
47%
98-99°F
$1,277 Обс.
31%
100-101°F
$282 Обс.
5%
102-103°F
$896 Обс.
<1%
104-105°F
$184 Обс.
<1%
106°F or higher
$339 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Denver’s August 7 high temperature in the upper 90s, with most runs converging on 97–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal moisture. Recent multi-day heat across the Front Range has elevated surface temperatures and reduced evaporative cooling, yet patchy smoke and subtle upslope flow introduce modest uncertainty in maximum readings. These verified conditions explain why the market assigns 43.5 % implied probability to 96–97 °F and 35.5 % to 98–99 °F, while lower-probability bins reflect the limited but real chance of model shifts or localized cooling before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,067Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Denver’s August 7 high temperature in the upper 90s, with most runs converging on 97–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal moisture. Recent multi-day heat across the Front Range has elevated surface temperatures and reduced evaporative cooling, yet patchy smoke and subtle upslope flow introduce modest uncertainty in maximum readings. These verified conditions explain why the market assigns 43.5 % implied probability to 96–97 °F and 35.5 % to 98–99 °F, while lower-probability bins reflect the limited but real chance of model shifts or localized cooling before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,067Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance place Denver’s August 7 high temperature in the upper 90s, with most runs converging on 97–99 °F under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and minimal moisture. Recent multi-day heat across the Front Range has elevated surface temperatures and reduced evaporative cooling, yet patchy smoke and subtle upslope flow introduce modest uncertainty in maximum readings. These verified conditions explain why the market assigns 43.5 % implied probability to 96–97 °F and 35.5 % to 98–99 °F, while lower-probability bins reflect the limited but real chance of model shifts or localized cooling before the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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