**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 8 centers on 33°C (51%) and 34°C (37%) as the leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer values.** AccuWeather's August 2026 guidance places daily highs between 31.2°C and 35.1°C, with a monthly average near 33°C, while climatological norms for Karachi in August hover around 31–33°C amid strong sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that moderate peak readings. Seasonal outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and broader monsoon guidance indicate above-normal mean temperatures across Sindh, linked to persistent El Niño conditions in the Pacific that favor warmer baselines, though localized moisture and variable steering patterns keep extremes in check. Recent early-August rainfall episodes have provided brief cooling relief without shifting the overall warm regime, and no major heatwave signals appear in the latest model runs. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities captures genuine forecast uncertainty around exact daily maxima, with higher thresholds (35°C+) carrying low odds consistent with historical rarity under current steering and humidity influences. Updated official guidance from PMD or NWP ensembles ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine these probabilities further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 8?
33°C 51%
34°C 37%
32°C 10%
35°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
51%
34°C
37%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
34°C 37%
32°C 10%
35°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$493 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$335 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$309 Обс.
1%
31°C
$355 Обс.
2%
32°C
$689 Обс.
10%
33°C
$1,835 Обс.
51%
34°C
$1,270 Обс.
37%
35°C
$452 Обс.
4%
36°C
$303 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$146 Обс.
<1%
38°C or higher
$759 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 8 centers on 33°C (51%) and 34°C (37%) as the leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer values.**
AccuWeather's August 2026 guidance places daily highs between 31.2°C and 35.1°C, with a monthly average near 33°C, while climatological norms for Karachi in August hover around 31–33°C amid strong sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that moderate peak readings. Seasonal outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and broader monsoon guidance indicate above-normal mean temperatures across Sindh, linked to persistent El Niño conditions in the Pacific that favor warmer baselines, though localized moisture and variable steering patterns keep extremes in check.
Recent early-August rainfall episodes have provided brief cooling relief without shifting the overall warm regime, and no major heatwave signals appear in the latest model runs. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities captures genuine forecast uncertainty around exact daily maxima, with higher thresholds (35°C+) carrying low odds consistent with historical rarity under current steering and humidity influences. Updated official guidance from PMD or NWP ensembles ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,946Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 8 centers on 33°C (51%) and 34°C (37%) as the leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer values.**
AccuWeather's August 2026 guidance places daily highs between 31.2°C and 35.1°C, with a monthly average near 33°C, while climatological norms for Karachi in August hover around 31–33°C amid strong sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that moderate peak readings. Seasonal outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and broader monsoon guidance indicate above-normal mean temperatures across Sindh, linked to persistent El Niño conditions in the Pacific that favor warmer baselines, though localized moisture and variable steering patterns keep extremes in check.
Recent early-August rainfall episodes have provided brief cooling relief without shifting the overall warm regime, and no major heatwave signals appear in the latest model runs. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities captures genuine forecast uncertainty around exact daily maxima, with higher thresholds (35°C+) carrying low odds consistent with historical rarity under current steering and humidity influences. Updated official guidance from PMD or NWP ensembles ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,946Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 8 centers on 33°C (51%) and 34°C (37%) as the leading outcomes, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer values.** AccuWeather's August 2026 guidance places daily highs between 31.2°C and 35.1°C, with a monthly average near 33°C, while climatological norms for Karachi in August hover around 31–33°C amid strong sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that moderate peak readings. Seasonal outlooks from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and broader monsoon guidance indicate above-normal mean temperatures across Sindh, linked to persistent El Niño conditions in the Pacific that favor warmer baselines, though localized moisture and variable steering patterns keep extremes in check. Recent early-August rainfall episodes have provided brief cooling relief without shifting the overall warm regime, and no major heatwave signals appear in the latest model runs. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities captures genuine forecast uncertainty around exact daily maxima, with higher thresholds (35°C+) carrying low odds consistent with historical rarity under current steering and humidity influences. Updated official guidance from PMD or NWP ensembles ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine these probabilities further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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