Trader sentiment centers on Mexico City's typical August rainy-season conditions, where afternoon convection and cloud cover moderate daytime peaks to the 23–25°C range. Official climatological baselines place average highs near 24°C (75°F), with recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather showing daily maxima between 23–26°C amid scattered showers and moderate humidity. Model consensus favors limited intensification potential due to the city's high elevation and prevailing steering patterns, keeping probabilities highest for 24°C while assigning lower weight to outliers above 26°C or below 23°C. No major synoptic shifts, such as anomalous ridging or suppressed rainfall, have altered this outlook in the past week.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
24°C 47%
25°C 27%
23°C 19%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
19%
24°C
47%
25°C
27%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 27%
23°C 19%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
18°C or below
$784 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$1,791 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$487 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$374 Обс.
1%
22°C
$683 Обс.
6%
23°C
$689 Обс.
19%
24°C
$818 Обс.
47%
25°C
$657 Обс.
27%
26°C
$1,765 Обс.
6%
27°C
$246 Обс.
1%
28°C or higher
$280 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on Mexico City's typical August rainy-season conditions, where afternoon convection and cloud cover moderate daytime peaks to the 23–25°C range. Official climatological baselines place average highs near 24°C (75°F), with recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather showing daily maxima between 23–26°C amid scattered showers and moderate humidity. Model consensus favors limited intensification potential due to the city's high elevation and prevailing steering patterns, keeping probabilities highest for 24°C while assigning lower weight to outliers above 26°C or below 23°C. No major synoptic shifts, such as anomalous ridging or suppressed rainfall, have altered this outlook in the past week.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,575Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on Mexico City's typical August rainy-season conditions, where afternoon convection and cloud cover moderate daytime peaks to the 23–25°C range. Official climatological baselines place average highs near 24°C (75°F), with recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather showing daily maxima between 23–26°C amid scattered showers and moderate humidity. Model consensus favors limited intensification potential due to the city's high elevation and prevailing steering patterns, keeping probabilities highest for 24°C while assigning lower weight to outliers above 26°C or below 23°C. No major synoptic shifts, such as anomalous ridging or suppressed rainfall, have altered this outlook in the past week.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,575Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on Mexico City's typical August rainy-season conditions, where afternoon convection and cloud cover moderate daytime peaks to the 23–25°C range. Official climatological baselines place average highs near 24°C (75°F), with recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather showing daily maxima between 23–26°C amid scattered showers and moderate humidity. Model consensus favors limited intensification potential due to the city's high elevation and prevailing steering patterns, keeping probabilities highest for 24°C while assigning lower weight to outliers above 26°C or below 23°C. No major synoptic shifts, such as anomalous ridging or suppressed rainfall, have altered this outlook in the past week.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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