Latest National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin show a high near 98–100°F on August 9 under continued summer high pressure, clear skies, and strong daytime heating typical of peak season. This aligns with Austin’s August climatology of 98°F average highs and recent patterns of 99–101°F readings earlier in the week. Model consensus supports limited variability, with minimal cloud cover or moisture expected to suppress extremes above 101°F or below 96°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 98–99°F and 25.5% for 96–97°F captures this narrow forecast range, while lower odds on 100–101°F or cooler outcomes account for residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any late model shifts ahead of the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 9?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 9?
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
2%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
87°F or below
$71 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$108 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$17 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$76 Обс.
2%
94-95°F
$6 Обс.
10%
96-97°F
$190 Обс.
25%
98-99°F
$40 Обс.
46%
100-101°F
$12 Обс.
19%
102-103°F
$84 Обс.
7%
104-105°F
$5 Обс.
2%
106°F or higher
$28 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin show a high near 98–100°F on August 9 under continued summer high pressure, clear skies, and strong daytime heating typical of peak season. This aligns with Austin’s August climatology of 98°F average highs and recent patterns of 99–101°F readings earlier in the week. Model consensus supports limited variability, with minimal cloud cover or moisture expected to suppress extremes above 101°F or below 96°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 98–99°F and 25.5% for 96–97°F captures this narrow forecast range, while lower odds on 100–101°F or cooler outcomes account for residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any late model shifts ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$637Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin show a high near 98–100°F on August 9 under continued summer high pressure, clear skies, and strong daytime heating typical of peak season. This aligns with Austin’s August climatology of 98°F average highs and recent patterns of 99–101°F readings earlier in the week. Model consensus supports limited variability, with minimal cloud cover or moisture expected to suppress extremes above 101°F or below 96°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 98–99°F and 25.5% for 96–97°F captures this narrow forecast range, while lower odds on 100–101°F or cooler outcomes account for residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any late model shifts ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$637Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin show a high near 98–100°F on August 9 under continued summer high pressure, clear skies, and strong daytime heating typical of peak season. This aligns with Austin’s August climatology of 98°F average highs and recent patterns of 99–101°F readings earlier in the week. Model consensus supports limited variability, with minimal cloud cover or moisture expected to suppress extremes above 101°F or below 96°F. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 98–99°F and 25.5% for 96–97°F captures this narrow forecast range, while lower odds on 100–101°F or cooler outcomes account for residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and any late model shifts ahead of the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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