The approaching cold front, supported by an upper-level trough, is the main driver behind Cape Town’s market-implied probabilities, with 15°C leading at 48.5% and 16°C at 27%. Official South African Weather Service outlooks and ensemble models show the front delivering cooler, showery conditions over the Western Cape through the long weekend, moderating maximum temperatures into the 14–15°C range by August 10 amid southerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with August climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 17°C but drop several degrees under frontal passages. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm limited warming potential before the event peaks, keeping lower probabilities on 17°C-plus outcomes while traders monitor the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 10?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 10?
15°C 49%
16°C 28%
14°C 16%
17°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
16%
15°C
49%
16°C
28%
17°C
6%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 49%
16°C 28%
14°C 16%
17°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
10°C or below
$90 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$91 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$74 Обс.
1%
13°C
$76 Обс.
4%
14°C
$126 Обс.
16%
15°C
$189 Обс.
49%
16°C
$178 Обс.
28%
17°C
$151 Обс.
6%
18°C
$96 Обс.
3%
19°C
$62 Обс.
1%
20°C or higher
$537 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching cold front, supported by an upper-level trough, is the main driver behind Cape Town’s market-implied probabilities, with 15°C leading at 48.5% and 16°C at 27%. Official South African Weather Service outlooks and ensemble models show the front delivering cooler, showery conditions over the Western Cape through the long weekend, moderating maximum temperatures into the 14–15°C range by August 10 amid southerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with August climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 17°C but drop several degrees under frontal passages. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm limited warming potential before the event peaks, keeping lower probabilities on 17°C-plus outcomes while traders monitor the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,671Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching cold front, supported by an upper-level trough, is the main driver behind Cape Town’s market-implied probabilities, with 15°C leading at 48.5% and 16°C at 27%. Official South African Weather Service outlooks and ensemble models show the front delivering cooler, showery conditions over the Western Cape through the long weekend, moderating maximum temperatures into the 14–15°C range by August 10 amid southerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with August climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 17°C but drop several degrees under frontal passages. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm limited warming potential before the event peaks, keeping lower probabilities on 17°C-plus outcomes while traders monitor the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,671Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The approaching cold front, supported by an upper-level trough, is the main driver behind Cape Town’s market-implied probabilities, with 15°C leading at 48.5% and 16°C at 27%. Official South African Weather Service outlooks and ensemble models show the front delivering cooler, showery conditions over the Western Cape through the long weekend, moderating maximum temperatures into the 14–15°C range by August 10 amid southerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with August climatology for the region, where typical highs hover near 17°C but drop several degrees under frontal passages. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm limited warming potential before the event peaks, keeping lower probabilities on 17°C-plus outcomes while traders monitor the final forecast updates ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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