Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a daily maximum near 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and moderate humidity, consistent with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent late-summer conditions without tropical cyclone disruption or strong frontal systems support enhanced daytime heating, pushing readings into the mid-30s as seen in recent station data showing 33°C maxima. Seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, with climatological August averages around 31–32°C providing context for the elevated trader consensus around 34–37°C bins. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze and cloud-cover effects ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
35°C 35%
34°C 25%
37°C 21%
36°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
25%
35°C
35%
36°C
17%
37°C
21%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 25%
37°C 21%
36°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$558 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$100 Обс.
2%
33°C
$864 Обс.
9%
34°C
$729 Обс.
25%
35°C
$1,244 Обс.
35%
36°C
$730 Обс.
17%
37°C
$1,234 Обс.
21%
38°C
$210 Обс.
2%
39°C
$533 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$547 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$591 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a daily maximum near 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and moderate humidity, consistent with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent late-summer conditions without tropical cyclone disruption or strong frontal systems support enhanced daytime heating, pushing readings into the mid-30s as seen in recent station data showing 33°C maxima. Seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, with climatological August averages around 31–32°C providing context for the elevated trader consensus around 34–37°C bins. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze and cloud-cover effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,340Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a daily maximum near 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and moderate humidity, consistent with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent late-summer conditions without tropical cyclone disruption or strong frontal systems support enhanced daytime heating, pushing readings into the mid-30s as seen in recent station data showing 33°C maxima. Seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, with climatological August averages around 31–32°C providing context for the elevated trader consensus around 34–37°C bins. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze and cloud-cover effects ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$7,340Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a daily maximum near 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and moderate humidity, consistent with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent late-summer conditions without tropical cyclone disruption or strong frontal systems support enhanced daytime heating, pushing readings into the mid-30s as seen in recent station data showing 33°C maxima. Seasonal guidance indicates normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, with climatological August averages around 31–32°C providing context for the elevated trader consensus around 34–37°C bins. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze and cloud-cover effects ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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