Singapore’s National Environment Agency forecasts indicate daily maxima of 33–34 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions during the first half of August 2026, with lighter winds and reduced rainfall favoring stronger solar heating. Afternoon thundery showers and convective cloud cover, typical for the equatorial location, usually cap peaks near 32–33 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C. Recent model consensus and climatological averages around 31 °C, tempered by expected moisture and instability on August 6, explain why 31 °C and 33 °C remain secondary outcomes while extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C carry negligible implied probability. Updated NEA guidance and regional model runs ahead of the observation window will provide the next key inputs for trader reassessment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on August 6?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 6?
32°C 51%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 2.3%
НОВЕ
$12,556 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,556 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
27%
32°C
51%
33°C
20%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 2.3%
НОВЕ
$12,556 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,556 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$444 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$627 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$776 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$955 Обс.
2%
31°C
$3,242 Обс.
27%
32°C
$1,723 Обс.
51%
33°C
$2,245 Обс.
20%
34°C
$1,128 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$513 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$521 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$383 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s National Environment Agency forecasts indicate daily maxima of 33–34 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions during the first half of August 2026, with lighter winds and reduced rainfall favoring stronger solar heating. Afternoon thundery showers and convective cloud cover, typical for the equatorial location, usually cap peaks near 32–33 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C. Recent model consensus and climatological averages around 31 °C, tempered by expected moisture and instability on August 6, explain why 31 °C and 33 °C remain secondary outcomes while extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C carry negligible implied probability. Updated NEA guidance and regional model runs ahead of the observation window will provide the next key inputs for trader reassessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,556Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s National Environment Agency forecasts indicate daily maxima of 33–34 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions during the first half of August 2026, with lighter winds and reduced rainfall favoring stronger solar heating. Afternoon thundery showers and convective cloud cover, typical for the equatorial location, usually cap peaks near 32–33 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C. Recent model consensus and climatological averages around 31 °C, tempered by expected moisture and instability on August 6, explain why 31 °C and 33 °C remain secondary outcomes while extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C carry negligible implied probability. Updated NEA guidance and regional model runs ahead of the observation window will provide the next key inputs for trader reassessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,556Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s National Environment Agency forecasts indicate daily maxima of 33–34 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions during the first half of August 2026, with lighter winds and reduced rainfall favoring stronger solar heating. Afternoon thundery showers and convective cloud cover, typical for the equatorial location, usually cap peaks near 32–33 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C. Recent model consensus and climatological averages around 31 °C, tempered by expected moisture and instability on August 6, explain why 31 °C and 33 °C remain secondary outcomes while extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C carry negligible implied probability. Updated NEA guidance and regional model runs ahead of the observation window will provide the next key inputs for trader reassessment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання