Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warming trend over the Île-de-France region, with clear skies and light winds supporting daytime highs clustered near 30–31°C on August 8. Surface observations from recent days show a rebound from midweek instability, allowing greater solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that elevates maximum temperatures above seasonal norms of 25–27°C. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local guidance highlight minimal precipitation risk tomorrow, tightening the probability distribution around these values while leaving room for slight upward revisions if ridge strengthening occurs. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these consensus model outputs against historical August variability, with the 30–32°C band capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 8?
31°C 44%
30°C 32%
32°C 21%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
$13,274 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,274 Обс.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
32%
31°C
44%
32°C
21%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 32%
32°C 21%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
$13,274 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,274 Обс.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$425 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$642 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$701 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$631 Обс.
2%
29°C
$2,478 Обс.
6%
30°C
$2,742 Обс.
32%
31°C
$965 Обс.
44%
32°C
$2,947 Обс.
21%
33°C
$681 Обс.
2%
34°C
$514 Обс.
1%
35°C or higher
$549 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warming trend over the Île-de-France region, with clear skies and light winds supporting daytime highs clustered near 30–31°C on August 8. Surface observations from recent days show a rebound from midweek instability, allowing greater solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that elevates maximum temperatures above seasonal norms of 25–27°C. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local guidance highlight minimal precipitation risk tomorrow, tightening the probability distribution around these values while leaving room for slight upward revisions if ridge strengthening occurs. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these consensus model outputs against historical August variability, with the 30–32°C band capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,274Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warming trend over the Île-de-France region, with clear skies and light winds supporting daytime highs clustered near 30–31°C on August 8. Surface observations from recent days show a rebound from midweek instability, allowing greater solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that elevates maximum temperatures above seasonal norms of 25–27°C. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local guidance highlight minimal precipitation risk tomorrow, tightening the probability distribution around these values while leaving room for slight upward revisions if ridge strengthening occurs. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these consensus model outputs against historical August variability, with the 30–32°C band capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,274Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warming trend over the Île-de-France region, with clear skies and light winds supporting daytime highs clustered near 30–31°C on August 8. Surface observations from recent days show a rebound from midweek instability, allowing greater solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that elevates maximum temperatures above seasonal norms of 25–27°C. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local guidance highlight minimal precipitation risk tomorrow, tightening the probability distribution around these values while leaving room for slight upward revisions if ridge strengthening occurs. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these consensus model outputs against historical August variability, with the 30–32°C band capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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