Recent forecast guidance for Paris indicates overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies following earlier heatwave conditions, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 14–15 °C as a transitional high-pressure ridge moderates advection of warmer air. Ensemble outputs from major models show limited spread around these values, reflecting typical August nocturnal cooling rates for the Paris basin under light winds and moderate humidity. The market’s heavy weighting toward 14 °C (49.5 %) and adjacent 13–15 °C outcomes aligns with this consensus, while lower probabilities for 12 °C or below capture residual uncertainty from potential cloud increases or localized urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance ahead of the 00 UTC–06 UTC window on 8 August will be the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 8?
14°C 50%
13°C 25%
15°C 21%
16°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
25%
14°C
50%
15°C
21%
16°C
8%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 50%
13°C 25%
15°C 21%
16°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
$104 Обс.
1%
12°C
$103 Обс.
4%
13°C
$426 Обс.
25%
14°C
$908 Обс.
50%
15°C
$416 Обс.
21%
16°C
$246 Обс.
8%
17°C
$129 Обс.
6%
18°C
$298 Обс.
1%
19°C
$321 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$67 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$77 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Paris indicates overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies following earlier heatwave conditions, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 14–15 °C as a transitional high-pressure ridge moderates advection of warmer air. Ensemble outputs from major models show limited spread around these values, reflecting typical August nocturnal cooling rates for the Paris basin under light winds and moderate humidity. The market’s heavy weighting toward 14 °C (49.5 %) and adjacent 13–15 °C outcomes aligns with this consensus, while lower probabilities for 12 °C or below capture residual uncertainty from potential cloud increases or localized urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance ahead of the 00 UTC–06 UTC window on 8 August will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,095Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Paris indicates overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies following earlier heatwave conditions, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 14–15 °C as a transitional high-pressure ridge moderates advection of warmer air. Ensemble outputs from major models show limited spread around these values, reflecting typical August nocturnal cooling rates for the Paris basin under light winds and moderate humidity. The market’s heavy weighting toward 14 °C (49.5 %) and adjacent 13–15 °C outcomes aligns with this consensus, while lower probabilities for 12 °C or below capture residual uncertainty from potential cloud increases or localized urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance ahead of the 00 UTC–06 UTC window on 8 August will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,095Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Paris indicates overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies following earlier heatwave conditions, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 14–15 °C as a transitional high-pressure ridge moderates advection of warmer air. Ensemble outputs from major models show limited spread around these values, reflecting typical August nocturnal cooling rates for the Paris basin under light winds and moderate humidity. The market’s heavy weighting toward 14 °C (49.5 %) and adjacent 13–15 °C outcomes aligns with this consensus, while lower probabilities for 12 °C or below capture residual uncertainty from potential cloud increases or localized urban heat-island effects. Updated guidance ahead of the 00 UTC–06 UTC window on 8 August will be the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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