Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–18°C in Paris on August 9. Daytime highs climbing toward 28–33°C under sunny conditions will limit afternoon heat retention, while the urban heat island effect and typical August climatology (average lows around 15–16°C) keep the distribution tightly clustered. Minor model spread arises from slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 9?
17°C 28%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
14°C or below
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
13%
20°C
6%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 28%
18°C 26%
16°C 20%
19°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
5%
15°C
$0 Обс.
7%
16°C
$104 Обс.
20%
17°C
$0 Обс.
28%
18°C
$0 Обс.
26%
19°C
$137 Обс.
13%
20°C
$0 Обс.
6%
21°C
$12 Обс.
4%
22°C
$279 Обс.
2%
23°C
$263 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$12 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–18°C in Paris on August 9. Daytime highs climbing toward 28–33°C under sunny conditions will limit afternoon heat retention, while the urban heat island effect and typical August climatology (average lows around 15–16°C) keep the distribution tightly clustered. Minor model spread arises from slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$806Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–18°C in Paris on August 9. Daytime highs climbing toward 28–33°C under sunny conditions will limit afternoon heat retention, while the urban heat island effect and typical August climatology (average lows around 15–16°C) keep the distribution tightly clustered. Minor model spread arises from slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$806Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF points to a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 16–18°C in Paris on August 9. Daytime highs climbing toward 28–33°C under sunny conditions will limit afternoon heat retention, while the urban heat island effect and typical August climatology (average lows around 15–16°C) keep the distribution tightly clustered. Minor model spread arises from slight differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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