Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS outputs through early August 2026, point to peak daytime temperatures in Milan of 32–34°C on August 8 under a stable high-pressure ridge, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and timing of any weak Atlantic trough, while climatological baselines for early-August Milan highs near 28–30°C underscore the above-normal anomaly. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine maximum readings against official Milan observation criteria, with resolution hinging on the single highest hourly or daily peak value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 8?
33°C 37%
32°C 30%
34°C 24%
35°C or higher 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
30%
33°C
37%
34°C
24%
35°C or higher
6%
33°C 37%
32°C 30%
34°C 24%
35°C or higher 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$399 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$509 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$350 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$744 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$390 Обс.
1%
30°C
$446 Обс.
2%
31°C
$1,370 Обс.
6%
32°C
$810 Обс.
30%
33°C
$867 Обс.
37%
34°C
$981 Обс.
24%
35°C or higher
$541 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS outputs through early August 2026, point to peak daytime temperatures in Milan of 32–34°C on August 8 under a stable high-pressure ridge, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and timing of any weak Atlantic trough, while climatological baselines for early-August Milan highs near 28–30°C underscore the above-normal anomaly. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine maximum readings against official Milan observation criteria, with resolution hinging on the single highest hourly or daily peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,406Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS outputs through early August 2026, point to peak daytime temperatures in Milan of 32–34°C on August 8 under a stable high-pressure ridge, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and timing of any weak Atlantic trough, while climatological baselines for early-August Milan highs near 28–30°C underscore the above-normal anomaly. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine maximum readings against official Milan observation criteria, with resolution hinging on the single highest hourly or daily peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,406Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS outputs through early August 2026, point to peak daytime temperatures in Milan of 32–34°C on August 8 under a stable high-pressure ridge, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and timing of any weak Atlantic trough, while climatological baselines for early-August Milan highs near 28–30°C underscore the above-normal anomaly. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine maximum readings against official Milan observation criteria, with resolution hinging on the single highest hourly or daily peak value.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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