Recent weather model consensus points to a cooling trend in Moscow on August 8, with daytime highs expected near 24–26°C after several days above 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, a shift in steering winds, and the passage of a cooler air mass. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in boundary layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 24°C and 25°C outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to small changes in moisture and insolation, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the absence of extreme heat or rapid advection. Updated guidance from global and regional models expected overnight will likely refine the precise maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 8?
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
23°C 8%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
42%
25°C
41%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 41%
23°C 8%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
20°C or below
$193 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$55 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$334 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$294 Обс.
8%
24°C
$669 Обс.
42%
25°C
$775 Обс.
41%
26°C
$214 Обс.
6%
27°C
$331 Обс.
2%
28°C
$183 Обс.
1%
29°C
$232 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$244 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a cooling trend in Moscow on August 8, with daytime highs expected near 24–26°C after several days above 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, a shift in steering winds, and the passage of a cooler air mass. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in boundary layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 24°C and 25°C outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to small changes in moisture and insolation, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the absence of extreme heat or rapid advection. Updated guidance from global and regional models expected overnight will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,523Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a cooling trend in Moscow on August 8, with daytime highs expected near 24–26°C after several days above 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, a shift in steering winds, and the passage of a cooler air mass. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in boundary layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 24°C and 25°C outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to small changes in moisture and insolation, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the absence of extreme heat or rapid advection. Updated guidance from global and regional models expected overnight will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,523Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus points to a cooling trend in Moscow on August 8, with daytime highs expected near 24–26°C after several days above 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, a shift in steering winds, and the passage of a cooler air mass. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around these values, with minor differences arising from variations in boundary layer mixing, exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 24°C and 25°C outcomes because short-range model runs remain sensitive to small changes in moisture and insolation, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow band given the absence of extreme heat or rapid advection. Updated guidance from global and regional models expected overnight will likely refine the precise maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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