Recent short-range forecasts from agencies and models like the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a typical summer anticyclonic setup over the eastern Mediterranean, with subsidence and mostly clear skies supporting daily maxima near 29–30°C (84–86°F) in Istanbul on August 8. Moderate northeasterly flow off the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara provides modest cooling that prevents stronger heating, while urban heat-island effects and low humidity keep readings stable rather than extreme. Ensemble spreads produce close probabilities between 28°C and 29°C outcomes, with small differences arising from exact timing of any diurnal wind shifts or thin cloud cover. Historical August maxima average 28–29°C, and no major model runs or synoptic changes have altered this baseline in the past 48 hours. Updated ECMWF or Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on August 7 will refine the final resolution range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
28°C 46%
29°C 38%
27°C 14%
30°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
14%
28°C
46%
29°C
38%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 38%
27°C 14%
30°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
$210 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$161 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$258 Обс.
1%
26°C
$293 Обс.
1%
27°C
$531 Обс.
14%
28°C
$643 Обс.
46%
29°C
$550 Обс.
38%
30°C
$166 Обс.
7%
31°C
$166 Обс.
2%
32°C
$146 Обс.
1%
33°C or higher
$711 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies and models like the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a typical summer anticyclonic setup over the eastern Mediterranean, with subsidence and mostly clear skies supporting daily maxima near 29–30°C (84–86°F) in Istanbul on August 8. Moderate northeasterly flow off the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara provides modest cooling that prevents stronger heating, while urban heat-island effects and low humidity keep readings stable rather than extreme. Ensemble spreads produce close probabilities between 28°C and 29°C outcomes, with small differences arising from exact timing of any diurnal wind shifts or thin cloud cover. Historical August maxima average 28–29°C, and no major model runs or synoptic changes have altered this baseline in the past 48 hours. Updated ECMWF or Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on August 7 will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,836Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies and models like the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a typical summer anticyclonic setup over the eastern Mediterranean, with subsidence and mostly clear skies supporting daily maxima near 29–30°C (84–86°F) in Istanbul on August 8. Moderate northeasterly flow off the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara provides modest cooling that prevents stronger heating, while urban heat-island effects and low humidity keep readings stable rather than extreme. Ensemble spreads produce close probabilities between 28°C and 29°C outcomes, with small differences arising from exact timing of any diurnal wind shifts or thin cloud cover. Historical August maxima average 28–29°C, and no major model runs or synoptic changes have altered this baseline in the past 48 hours. Updated ECMWF or Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on August 7 will refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,836Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies and models like the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a typical summer anticyclonic setup over the eastern Mediterranean, with subsidence and mostly clear skies supporting daily maxima near 29–30°C (84–86°F) in Istanbul on August 8. Moderate northeasterly flow off the Black Sea and Sea of Marmara provides modest cooling that prevents stronger heating, while urban heat-island effects and low humidity keep readings stable rather than extreme. Ensemble spreads produce close probabilities between 28°C and 29°C outcomes, with small differences arising from exact timing of any diurnal wind shifts or thin cloud cover. Historical August maxima average 28–29°C, and no major model runs or synoptic changes have altered this baseline in the past 48 hours. Updated ECMWF or Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on August 7 will refine the final resolution range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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