Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models highlight a lingering summer heat pattern over southern South Korea, with warm-air advection and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 33–35°C in Busan on August 8. Marine influence from the Korea Strait, variable afternoon cloud cover, and sea-breeze timing introduce the key uncertainty that keeps the top three outcomes clustered between 20–34% implied probability. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, while ongoing tropical-night conditions and minimal precipitation chances in short-range guidance sustain trader focus on the upper end of the distribution. New model runs and updated KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on August 8?
34°C 36%
35°C 25%
33°C 20%
36°C 15%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
20%
34°C
36%
35°C
25%
36°C
15%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
35°C 25%
33°C 20%
36°C 15%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
20%
34°C
36%
35°C
25%
36°C
15%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models highlight a lingering summer heat pattern over southern South Korea, with warm-air advection and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 33–35°C in Busan on August 8. Marine influence from the Korea Strait, variable afternoon cloud cover, and sea-breeze timing introduce the key uncertainty that keeps the top three outcomes clustered between 20–34% implied probability. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context, while ongoing tropical-night conditions and minimal precipitation chances in short-range guidance sustain trader focus on the upper end of the distribution. New model runs and updated KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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