Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble models signal a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny skies and a maximum temperature near 25–26 °C after several warmer days. This places the 25 °C outcome at the center of trader positioning while the 26 °C slice captures residual model spread and minor timing uncertainties. Northwesterly flow and modest cloud cover are expected to limit afternoon heating, consistent with climatological August highs around 24–25 °C. Updated forecast runs and any late-day observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow 50/35 split between these two leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 6?
25°C 52%
26°C 35%
24°C 8%
27°C 7%
$12,371 Обс.
$12,371 Обс.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
52%
26°C
35%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 52%
26°C 35%
24°C 8%
27°C 7%
$12,371 Обс.
$12,371 Обс.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
52%
26°C
35%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France guidance and ensemble models signal a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny skies and a maximum temperature near 25–26 °C after several warmer days. This places the 25 °C outcome at the center of trader positioning while the 26 °C slice captures residual model spread and minor timing uncertainties. Northwesterly flow and modest cloud cover are expected to limit afternoon heating, consistent with climatological August highs around 24–25 °C. Updated forecast runs and any late-day observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow 50/35 split between these two leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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