Météo-France forecasts point to a morning minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 6 amid a post-heatwave cooldown, with models showing consensus on overnight lows stabilizing near this level under clear skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and historical August baseline lows around 15°C. Short-range ensemble runs indicate limited variability, though modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could push the recorded minimum to 16°C or 18°C if conditions deviate from the central forecast before the daily low is finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$28,038 Обс.
$28,038 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$28,038 Обс.
$28,038 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
$849 Обс.
No
13°C
$658 Обс.
No
14°C
$1,830 Обс.
No
15°C
$4,073 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,771 Обс.
No
17°C
$7,004 Обс.
Yes
18°C
$3,187 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,365 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,698 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,594 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$1,007 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Météo-France forecasts point to a morning minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 6 amid a post-heatwave cooldown, with models showing consensus on overnight lows stabilizing near this level under clear skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and historical August baseline lows around 15°C. Short-range ensemble runs indicate limited variability, though modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could push the recorded minimum to 16°C or 18°C if conditions deviate from the central forecast before the daily low is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,038Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Météo-France forecasts point to a morning minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 6 amid a post-heatwave cooldown, with models showing consensus on overnight lows stabilizing near this level under clear skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and historical August baseline lows around 15°C. Short-range ensemble runs indicate limited variability, though modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could push the recorded minimum to 16°C or 18°C if conditions deviate from the central forecast before the daily low is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$28,038Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Météo-France forecasts point to a morning minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 6 amid a post-heatwave cooldown, with models showing consensus on overnight lows stabilizing near this level under clear skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and historical August baseline lows around 15°C. Short-range ensemble runs indicate limited variability, though modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could push the recorded minimum to 16°C or 18°C if conditions deviate from the central forecast before the daily low is finalized.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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