Latest forecast model consensus positions afternoon highs in Wuhan near 36–37°C on August 6, reflecting the near-even split in market-implied odds between those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong solar heating along the Yangtze River valley, yet increasing cloud cover and thundery showers—per NHC-style guidance analogs and regional runs—introduce uncertainty that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical August baselines around 35°C, combined with current humidity levels above 60% and minimal overnight cooling, underscore how small shifts in precipitation timing or urban heat retention differentiate the leading bins. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 6?
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 14%
38°C 5%
НОВЕ
$16,045 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,045 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
14%
36°C
37%
37°C
43%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 14%
38°C 5%
НОВЕ
$16,045 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,045 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$247 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$768 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$414 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$609 Обс.
1%
34°C
$529 Обс.
4%
35°C
$3,674 Обс.
14%
36°C
$2,603 Обс.
37%
37°C
$6,002 Обс.
43%
38°C
$640 Обс.
5%
39°C
$240 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$319 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus positions afternoon highs in Wuhan near 36–37°C on August 6, reflecting the near-even split in market-implied odds between those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong solar heating along the Yangtze River valley, yet increasing cloud cover and thundery showers—per NHC-style guidance analogs and regional runs—introduce uncertainty that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical August baselines around 35°C, combined with current humidity levels above 60% and minimal overnight cooling, underscore how small shifts in precipitation timing or urban heat retention differentiate the leading bins. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,045Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model consensus positions afternoon highs in Wuhan near 36–37°C on August 6, reflecting the near-even split in market-implied odds between those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong solar heating along the Yangtze River valley, yet increasing cloud cover and thundery showers—per NHC-style guidance analogs and regional runs—introduce uncertainty that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical August baselines around 35°C, combined with current humidity levels above 60% and minimal overnight cooling, underscore how small shifts in precipitation timing or urban heat retention differentiate the leading bins. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,045Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model consensus positions afternoon highs in Wuhan near 36–37°C on August 6, reflecting the near-even split in market-implied odds between those outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and light winds favor strong solar heating along the Yangtze River valley, yet increasing cloud cover and thundery showers—per NHC-style guidance analogs and regional runs—introduce uncertainty that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical August baselines around 35°C, combined with current humidity levels above 60% and minimal overnight cooling, underscore how small shifts in precipitation timing or urban heat retention differentiate the leading bins. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання