Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently indicate peak daily highs near 30–32°C for Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits intense solar heating. These forecasts place the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (34.5% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5%), with differentiation stemming from subtle model divergences on wind patterns and any brief frontal influences that could trim or sustain afternoon temperatures by 1°C. Historical climatology shows early-August averages around 30–31°C with occasional spikes, supporting trader consensus amid low odds for extremes below 29°C or above 34°C as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 8?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 8?
32°C 35%
31°C 26%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
26%
32°C
35%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 26%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$172 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$29 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$20 Обс.
2%
29°C
$23 Обс.
3%
30°C
$152 Обс.
11%
31°C
$52 Обс.
26%
32°C
$84 Обс.
35%
33°C
$102 Обс.
19%
34°C
$36 Обс.
6%
35°C
$53 Обс.
3%
36°C or higher
$37 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently indicate peak daily highs near 30–32°C for Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits intense solar heating. These forecasts place the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (34.5% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5%), with differentiation stemming from subtle model divergences on wind patterns and any brief frontal influences that could trim or sustain afternoon temperatures by 1°C. Historical climatology shows early-August averages around 30–31°C with occasional spikes, supporting trader consensus amid low odds for extremes below 29°C or above 34°C as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$760Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently indicate peak daily highs near 30–32°C for Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits intense solar heating. These forecasts place the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (34.5% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5%), with differentiation stemming from subtle model divergences on wind patterns and any brief frontal influences that could trim or sustain afternoon temperatures by 1°C. Historical climatology shows early-August averages around 30–31°C with occasional spikes, supporting trader consensus amid low odds for extremes below 29°C or above 34°C as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$760Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term meteorological models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration currently indicate peak daily highs near 30–32°C for Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits intense solar heating. These forecasts place the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (34.5% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5%), with differentiation stemming from subtle model divergences on wind patterns and any brief frontal influences that could trim or sustain afternoon temperatures by 1°C. Historical climatology shows early-August averages around 30–31°C with occasional spikes, supporting trader consensus amid low odds for extremes below 29°C or above 34°C as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання