Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate point to a sunny day with light northeasterly winds and maximum temperatures of 36–38°C on August 6, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (57%) and 38°C (39%). Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation under typical mid-summer anticyclonic conditions support daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or stronger winds expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against minor forecast uncertainty around exact thermal maxima, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 30s Celsius while assigning negligible weight to extremes below 36°C or above 39°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
37°C 56%
38°C 41%
39°C 4%
36°C 3%
НОВЕ
$21,585 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,585 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
56%
38°C
41%
39°C
4%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 56%
38°C 41%
39°C 4%
36°C 3%
НОВЕ
$21,585 Обс.
НОВЕ
$21,585 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
$661 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$2,047 Обс.
1%
35°C
$2,245 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$4,777 Обс.
3%
37°C
$3,735 Обс.
56%
38°C
$3,584 Обс.
41%
39°C
$2,165 Обс.
4%
40°C
$1,051 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$582 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$292 Обс.
<1%
43°C or higher
$448 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate point to a sunny day with light northeasterly winds and maximum temperatures of 36–38°C on August 6, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (57%) and 38°C (39%). Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation under typical mid-summer anticyclonic conditions support daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or stronger winds expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against minor forecast uncertainty around exact thermal maxima, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 30s Celsius while assigning negligible weight to extremes below 36°C or above 39°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$21,585Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate point to a sunny day with light northeasterly winds and maximum temperatures of 36–38°C on August 6, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (57%) and 38°C (39%). Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation under typical mid-summer anticyclonic conditions support daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or stronger winds expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against minor forecast uncertainty around exact thermal maxima, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 30s Celsius while assigning negligible weight to extremes below 36°C or above 39°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,585Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate point to a sunny day with light northeasterly winds and maximum temperatures of 36–38°C on August 6, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (57%) and 38°C (39%). Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation under typical mid-summer anticyclonic conditions support daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or stronger winds expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against minor forecast uncertainty around exact thermal maxima, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 30s Celsius while assigning negligible weight to extremes below 36°C or above 39°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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