Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicates highs in the upper 80s to low 90s for New York City on August 8, 2026, driven by a persistent Bermuda High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating amid above-average early-August warmth. Subtle differences in forecast guidance on afternoon convection, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering around 88–93°F bins, as even small shifts in peak solar radiation or cloud cover can alter the daily maximum by 2–4°F at official stations. Historical analogs from similar warm patterns support this range, though ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 8?
90-91°F 35%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 29%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 35%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 29%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
81°F or below
$5 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$2 Обс.
2%
84-85°F
$11 Обс.
2%
86-87°F
$21 Обс.
7%
88-89°F
$317 Обс.
29%
90-91°F
$53 Обс.
35%
92-93°F
$107 Обс.
29%
94-95°F
$86 Обс.
5%
96-97°F
$27 Обс.
8%
98-99°F
$32 Обс.
1%
100°F or higher
$27 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicates highs in the upper 80s to low 90s for New York City on August 8, 2026, driven by a persistent Bermuda High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating amid above-average early-August warmth. Subtle differences in forecast guidance on afternoon convection, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering around 88–93°F bins, as even small shifts in peak solar radiation or cloud cover can alter the daily maximum by 2–4°F at official stations. Historical analogs from similar warm patterns support this range, though ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$688Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicates highs in the upper 80s to low 90s for New York City on August 8, 2026, driven by a persistent Bermuda High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating amid above-average early-August warmth. Subtle differences in forecast guidance on afternoon convection, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering around 88–93°F bins, as even small shifts in peak solar radiation or cloud cover can alter the daily maximum by 2–4°F at official stations. Historical analogs from similar warm patterns support this range, though ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$688Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and the National Weather Service indicates highs in the upper 80s to low 90s for New York City on August 8, 2026, driven by a persistent Bermuda High promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating amid above-average early-August warmth. Subtle differences in forecast guidance on afternoon convection, sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight clustering around 88–93°F bins, as even small shifts in peak solar radiation or cloud cover can alter the daily maximum by 2–4°F at official stations. Historical analogs from similar warm patterns support this range, though ensemble spreads highlight remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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