Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 10?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 10?
37°C 48%
36°C 26%
38°C 17%
35°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
8%
36°C
26%
37°C
48%
38°C
17%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
37°C 48%
36°C 26%
38°C 17%
35°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$5 Обс.
2%
34°C
$10 Обс.
2%
35°C
$137 Обс.
8%
36°C
$561 Обс.
26%
37°C
$116 Обс.
48%
38°C
$128 Обс.
17%
39°C
$24 Обс.
3%
40°C
$75 Обс.
1%
41°C or higher
$15 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,090Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,090Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official AEMET and European model guidance for Madrid on August 10, 2026, centers on 35–37 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote strong daytime solar heating in the city’s continental setting. These conditions align with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 32–34 °C yet allow modest elevation when subsidence and dry air persist. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions clustering near 36 °C and only modest urban-heat-island or boundary-layer warming potential pushing a minority toward 38 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 37 °C, reflecting consensus on the absence of cooling advection or increased cloud cover before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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