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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?

Aug 7

Aug 8

Aug 9

Aug 10

Aug 7

Aug 8

Aug 9

Aug 10

30°C 41%

29°C 37%

28°C 13%

27°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$15,158 Обс.

30°C 41%

29°C 37%

28°C 13%

27°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

$15,158 Обс.

24°C or below

$1,106 Обс.

<1%

25°C

$644 Обс.

<1%

26°C

$1,140 Обс.

1%

27°C

$2,073 Обс.

5%

28°C

$916 Обс.

13%

29°C

$1,806 Обс.

37%

30°C

$1,984 Обс.

41%

31°C

$3,418 Обс.

4%

32°C

$679 Обс.

<1%

33°C

$1,265 Обс.

<1%

34°C or higher

$639 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to an overnight minimum of 28–29°C on August 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity and light variable winds, directly supporting the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C. Persistent above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, while any increase in cloud cover or showers could nudge the low slightly lower. Traders are therefore focused on the next model runs and HKO updates, which will clarify whether urban heat retention pushes the minimum to 30°C or allows brief cooling to 29°C before sunrise.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$15,158
Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance points to an overnight minimum of 28–29°C on August 10 under typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity and light variable winds, directly supporting the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C. Persistent above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by long-term warming trends and neutral ENSO conditions limit radiative cooling overnight, while any increase in cloud cover or showers could nudge the low slightly lower. Traders are therefore focused on the next model runs and HKO updates, which will clarify whether urban heat retention pushes the minimum to 30°C or allows brief cooling to 29°C before sunrise.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$15,158
Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «30°C» з 41%, далі «29°C» з 37%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?» згенерував $15.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 8, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?» — «30°C» з 41%. Наступний — «29°C» з 37%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.