Forecast models for Wellington on August 9 point to a daily high near 13–14°C under typical mid-winter conditions, with near-average temperatures favored by NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the region. This aligns with climatological norms of 12–14°C August highs and supports the market’s leading 14°C outcome at 52% implied probability, ahead of 15°C at 32.5%. Recent days have shown similar cool readings, including a 9°C high on August 5, reinforcing trader focus on modest variability rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance in the next 24 hours could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
14°C 56%
15°C 29%
13°C 11%
16°C 4%
НОВЕ
$22,600 Обс.
НОВЕ
$22,600 Обс.
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
11%
14°C
56%
15°C
29%
16°C
4%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 29%
13°C 11%
16°C 4%
НОВЕ
$22,600 Обс.
НОВЕ
$22,600 Обс.
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
$328 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$988 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$950 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$1,663 Обс.
2%
13°C
$4,616 Обс.
11%
14°C
$4,063 Обс.
56%
15°C
$5,812 Обс.
29%
16°C
$2,411 Обс.
4%
17°C
$1,204 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$205 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$361 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wellington on August 9 point to a daily high near 13–14°C under typical mid-winter conditions, with near-average temperatures favored by NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the region. This aligns with climatological norms of 12–14°C August highs and supports the market’s leading 14°C outcome at 52% implied probability, ahead of 15°C at 32.5%. Recent days have shown similar cool readings, including a 9°C high on August 5, reinforcing trader focus on modest variability rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance in the next 24 hours could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,600Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wellington on August 9 point to a daily high near 13–14°C under typical mid-winter conditions, with near-average temperatures favored by NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the region. This aligns with climatological norms of 12–14°C August highs and supports the market’s leading 14°C outcome at 52% implied probability, ahead of 15°C at 32.5%. Recent days have shown similar cool readings, including a 9°C high on August 5, reinforcing trader focus on modest variability rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance in the next 24 hours could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$22,600Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Wellington on August 9 point to a daily high near 13–14°C under typical mid-winter conditions, with near-average temperatures favored by NIWA’s seasonal outlook for the region. This aligns with climatological norms of 12–14°C August highs and supports the market’s leading 14°C outcome at 52% implied probability, ahead of 15°C at 32.5%. Recent days have shown similar cool readings, including a 9°C high on August 5, reinforcing trader focus on modest variability rather than extremes. Updated model runs and official MetService guidance in the next 24 hours could refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання