Current forecast guidance from NOAA and ensemble models points to a moderate marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures on August 9, positioning the 78-79°F bin as the leading outcome at 46.5% implied probability. This reflects typical late-summer patterns where persistent low clouds and sea breezes limit daytime heating below the seasonal average high near 84°F, consistent with historical analogs for early August under neutral ENSO conditions. Recent model runs show limited warming potential absent strong offshore flow, with 76-77°F as the next most likely range. Traders are monitoring the National Weather Service's final short-term updates and any shifts in 500 mb heights that could alter the marine influence before resolution.