Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City points to a Saturday high near 86°F under partly sunny skies with a modest chance of afternoon showers, yet trader consensus clusters on 90–93°F. This spread reflects model divergence on boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint recovery, and the timing of any sea-breeze or cloud cover that could cap insolation. With August climatology averaging 83°F and recent days featuring heat-advisory conditions, small shifts in 500-hPa heights or low-level moisture could push readings 4–7°F above official guidance. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine probabilities before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 9?
92-93°F 38%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 20%
88-89°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
38%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 38%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 20%
88-89°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
81°F or below
$288 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$436 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$218 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$251 Обс.
3%
88-89°F
$377 Обс.
9%
90-91°F
$313 Обс.
36%
92-93°F
$467 Обс.
38%
94-95°F
$1,123 Обс.
20%
96-97°F
$258 Обс.
2%
98-99°F
$29 Обс.
<1%
100°F or higher
$222 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City points to a Saturday high near 86°F under partly sunny skies with a modest chance of afternoon showers, yet trader consensus clusters on 90–93°F. This spread reflects model divergence on boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint recovery, and the timing of any sea-breeze or cloud cover that could cap insolation. With August climatology averaging 83°F and recent days featuring heat-advisory conditions, small shifts in 500-hPa heights or low-level moisture could push readings 4–7°F above official guidance. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,981Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City points to a Saturday high near 86°F under partly sunny skies with a modest chance of afternoon showers, yet trader consensus clusters on 90–93°F. This spread reflects model divergence on boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint recovery, and the timing of any sea-breeze or cloud cover that could cap insolation. With August climatology averaging 83°F and recent days featuring heat-advisory conditions, small shifts in 500-hPa heights or low-level moisture could push readings 4–7°F above official guidance. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,981Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City points to a Saturday high near 86°F under partly sunny skies with a modest chance of afternoon showers, yet trader consensus clusters on 90–93°F. This spread reflects model divergence on boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint recovery, and the timing of any sea-breeze or cloud cover that could cap insolation. With August climatology averaging 83°F and recent days featuring heat-advisory conditions, small shifts in 500-hPa heights or low-level moisture could push readings 4–7°F above official guidance. Updated model runs and the evening NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine probabilities before the market resolves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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