Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 9?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 9?
75°F or below 47%
76-77°F 29%
78-79°F 19%
80-81°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
75°F or below
47%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
75°F or below 47%
76-77°F 29%
78-79°F 19%
80-81°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
75°F or below
$413 Обс.
47%
76-77°F
$197 Обс.
29%
78-79°F
$236 Обс.
19%
80-81°F
$302 Обс.
7%
82-83°F
$252 Обс.
3%
84-85°F
$17 Обс.
1%
86-87°F
$116 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$120 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$135 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$301 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$364 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,451Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,451Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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