National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 99°F in Denver on August 9 under mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures across the Front Range have produced recent highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, with heat advisories active through the period. Model consensus from recent runs favors this range over lower or higher outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by a degree or two. Denver's typical early-August climatology averages 88-91°F, making the current pattern a clear driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 9?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 9?
98-99°F 39%
96-97°F 34%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
89°F or below
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 39%
96-97°F 34%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
89°F or below
$12 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$80 Обс.
2%
92-93°F
$125 Обс.
3%
94-95°F
$136 Обс.
9%
96-97°F
$148 Обс.
34%
98-99°F
$69 Обс.
39%
100-101°F
$122 Обс.
13%
102-103°F
$46 Обс.
3%
104-105°F
$12 Обс.
2%
106-107°F
$12 Обс.
2%
108°F or higher
$181 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 99°F in Denver on August 9 under mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures across the Front Range have produced recent highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, with heat advisories active through the period. Model consensus from recent runs favors this range over lower or higher outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by a degree or two. Denver's typical early-August climatology averages 88-91°F, making the current pattern a clear driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$943Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 99°F in Denver on August 9 under mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures across the Front Range have produced recent highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, with heat advisories active through the period. Model consensus from recent runs favors this range over lower or higher outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by a degree or two. Denver's typical early-August climatology averages 88-91°F, making the current pattern a clear driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$943Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 99°F in Denver on August 9 under mostly sunny skies and light southwesterly winds, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 44.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures across the Front Range have produced recent highs in the upper 90s to low 100s, with heat advisories active through the period. Model consensus from recent runs favors this range over lower or higher outcomes, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the peak by a degree or two. Denver's typical early-August climatology averages 88-91°F, making the current pattern a clear driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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