Trader consensus favors a peak of 37°C on August 11 in Guangzhou, reflecting ensemble model spreads showing daytime maxima most likely between 34–38°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, urban heat-island effects, and variable monsoon moisture create the dispersed probabilities, with 35–36°C outcomes boosted by afternoon thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that limit insolation. Higher readings near 39°C gain traction under clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while extremes below 34°C or above 40°C remain low-probability due to seasonal baselines around 33–35°C and the moderating influence of regional sea breezes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours, plus local observations of convective initiation, will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 11?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 11?
37°C 35%
38°C 19%
36°C 18%
35°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
12%
34°C
10%
35°C
16%
36°C
18%
37°C
35%
38°C
19%
39°C
15%
40°C
9%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 35%
38°C 19%
36°C 18%
35°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
$12 Обс.
1%
32°C
$12 Обс.
1%
33°C
$39 Обс.
12%
34°C
$28 Обс.
10%
35°C
$0 Обс.
16%
36°C
$0 Обс.
18%
37°C
$0 Обс.
35%
38°C
$0 Обс.
19%
39°C
$0 Обс.
15%
40°C
$3 Обс.
9%
41°C or higher
$2 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a peak of 37°C on August 11 in Guangzhou, reflecting ensemble model spreads showing daytime maxima most likely between 34–38°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, urban heat-island effects, and variable monsoon moisture create the dispersed probabilities, with 35–36°C outcomes boosted by afternoon thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that limit insolation. Higher readings near 39°C gain traction under clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while extremes below 34°C or above 40°C remain low-probability due to seasonal baselines around 33–35°C and the moderating influence of regional sea breezes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours, plus local observations of convective initiation, will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$96Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a peak of 37°C on August 11 in Guangzhou, reflecting ensemble model spreads showing daytime maxima most likely between 34–38°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, urban heat-island effects, and variable monsoon moisture create the dispersed probabilities, with 35–36°C outcomes boosted by afternoon thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that limit insolation. Higher readings near 39°C gain traction under clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while extremes below 34°C or above 40°C remain low-probability due to seasonal baselines around 33–35°C and the moderating influence of regional sea breezes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours, plus local observations of convective initiation, will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$96Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a peak of 37°C on August 11 in Guangzhou, reflecting ensemble model spreads showing daytime maxima most likely between 34–38°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, urban heat-island effects, and variable monsoon moisture create the dispersed probabilities, with 35–36°C outcomes boosted by afternoon thunderstorms or increased cloud cover that limit insolation. Higher readings near 39°C gain traction under clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while extremes below 34°C or above 40°C remain low-probability due to seasonal baselines around 33–35°C and the moderating influence of regional sea breezes. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours, plus local observations of convective initiation, will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання