Hong Kong's peak temperatures on August 10 are expected to reach 34–35 °C under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. Seasonal forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends, while short-range models show modest spread in maximum readings depending on the timing of any showers or thunderstorms. Historical August averages near 31–32 °C provide context, yet daily peaks often exceed this threshold when solar insolation is strong and moisture does not trigger widespread convection. With probabilities tightly clustered between 34 °C and 35 °C, traders are weighing subtle differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer moisture and any late-day sea-breeze effects that could cap or enhance the daily maximum by one degree.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
35°C 40%
34°C 35%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
$13,163 Обс.
$13,163 Обс.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
35%
35°C
40%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
34°C 35%
36°C 14%
33°C 8%
$13,163 Обс.
$13,163 Обс.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
35%
35°C
40%
36°C
14%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's peak temperatures on August 10 are expected to reach 34–35 °C under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. Seasonal forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends, while short-range models show modest spread in maximum readings depending on the timing of any showers or thunderstorms. Historical August averages near 31–32 °C provide context, yet daily peaks often exceed this threshold when solar insolation is strong and moisture does not trigger widespread convection. With probabilities tightly clustered between 34 °C and 35 °C, traders are weighing subtle differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer moisture and any late-day sea-breeze effects that could cap or enhance the daily maximum by one degree.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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