Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 41%
36°C 28%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
НОВЕ
$15,827 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,827 Обс.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
41%
36°C
28%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 28%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
НОВЕ
$15,827 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,827 Обс.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$1,033 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$3,198 Обс.
1%
33°C
$1,438 Обс.
5%
34°C
$1,406 Обс.
13%
35°C
$2,284 Обс.
41%
36°C
$1,726 Обс.
28%
37°C
$1,610 Обс.
14%
38°C
$1,881 Обс.
4%
39°C
$453 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$382 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$415 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,827Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$15,827Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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