**Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth are positioning 18–19°C as the leading outcomes for London's minimum temperature on August 10.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a nighttime low of 16°C under sunny conditions with light winds, while BBC forecasts align closely around 15°C. However, the broader summer pattern—marked by minimum temperatures averaging 1.5°C above normal through July and into early August—has produced unusually mild nights across southern England. London’s urban heat island effect further moderates overnight cooling relative to surrounding rural areas or model grid points. Clear skies and light winds limit radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus that the recorded low (likely at a central or airport station) will settle near 18–19°C rather than the cooler point-forecast values. Upcoming model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover before resolution remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 10?
Lowest temperature in London on August 10?
19°C 53%
18°C 37%
20°C 6%
16°C 5.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
4%
18°C
37%
19°C
53%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 53%
18°C 37%
20°C 6%
16°C 5.2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 10, 2026
13°C or below
$229 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$197 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$561 Обс.
1%
16°C
$223 Обс.
5%
17°C
$234 Обс.
4%
18°C
$3,348 Обс.
37%
19°C
$640 Обс.
53%
20°C
$302 Обс.
6%
21°C
$210 Обс.
1%
22°C
$170 Обс.
<1%
23°C or higher
$342 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth are positioning 18–19°C as the leading outcomes for London's minimum temperature on August 10.**
Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a nighttime low of 16°C under sunny conditions with light winds, while BBC forecasts align closely around 15°C. However, the broader summer pattern—marked by minimum temperatures averaging 1.5°C above normal through July and into early August—has produced unusually mild nights across southern England. London’s urban heat island effect further moderates overnight cooling relative to surrounding rural areas or model grid points.
Clear skies and light winds limit radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus that the recorded low (likely at a central or airport station) will settle near 18–19°C rather than the cooler point-forecast values. Upcoming model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover before resolution remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,455Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth are positioning 18–19°C as the leading outcomes for London's minimum temperature on August 10.**
Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a nighttime low of 16°C under sunny conditions with light winds, while BBC forecasts align closely around 15°C. However, the broader summer pattern—marked by minimum temperatures averaging 1.5°C above normal through July and into early August—has produced unusually mild nights across southern England. London’s urban heat island effect further moderates overnight cooling relative to surrounding rural areas or model grid points.
Clear skies and light winds limit radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus that the recorded low (likely at a central or airport station) will settle near 18–19°C rather than the cooler point-forecast values. Upcoming model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover before resolution remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,455Дата завершення
Aug 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal warmth are positioning 18–19°C as the leading outcomes for London's minimum temperature on August 10.** Official Met Office guidance currently indicates a nighttime low of 16°C under sunny conditions with light winds, while BBC forecasts align closely around 15°C. However, the broader summer pattern—marked by minimum temperatures averaging 1.5°C above normal through July and into early August—has produced unusually mild nights across southern England. London’s urban heat island effect further moderates overnight cooling relative to surrounding rural areas or model grid points. Clear skies and light winds limit radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus that the recorded low (likely at a central or airport station) will settle near 18–19°C rather than the cooler point-forecast values. Upcoming model updates and any shift in wind or cloud cover before resolution remain the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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