Trader consensus has consolidated on 24°C as the exact maximum for Mexico City on August 7 because official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model guidance consistently projected a daily high in the 24–26°C range under typical early-August conditions. Widespread cloud cover, showers, and tropical wave activity suppressed daytime heating, aligning with the city’s climatological August average near 24°C and historical rarity of extremes above 27°C or below 22°C. With the date now past, SMN observations have resolved the outcome, producing near-certainty in the market. The only realistic challenges would involve station-specific discrepancies in the official daily maximum or post-event data revisions, though these remain low-probability given standardized reporting protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,732 Обс.
$21,732 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,732 Обс.
$21,732 Обс.
Aug 7, 2026
17°C or below
$1,306 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,463 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$926 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$720 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$738 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,437 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$2,447 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$5,070 Обс.
100%
25°C
$3,043 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,995 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,586 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has consolidated on 24°C as the exact maximum for Mexico City on August 7 because official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model guidance consistently projected a daily high in the 24–26°C range under typical early-August conditions. Widespread cloud cover, showers, and tropical wave activity suppressed daytime heating, aligning with the city’s climatological August average near 24°C and historical rarity of extremes above 27°C or below 22°C. With the date now past, SMN observations have resolved the outcome, producing near-certainty in the market. The only realistic challenges would involve station-specific discrepancies in the official daily maximum or post-event data revisions, though these remain low-probability given standardized reporting protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,732Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has consolidated on 24°C as the exact maximum for Mexico City on August 7 because official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model guidance consistently projected a daily high in the 24–26°C range under typical early-August conditions. Widespread cloud cover, showers, and tropical wave activity suppressed daytime heating, aligning with the city’s climatological August average near 24°C and historical rarity of extremes above 27°C or below 22°C. With the date now past, SMN observations have resolved the outcome, producing near-certainty in the market. The only realistic challenges would involve station-specific discrepancies in the official daily maximum or post-event data revisions, though these remain low-probability given standardized reporting protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21,732Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has consolidated on 24°C as the exact maximum for Mexico City on August 7 because official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and model guidance consistently projected a daily high in the 24–26°C range under typical early-August conditions. Widespread cloud cover, showers, and tropical wave activity suppressed daytime heating, aligning with the city’s climatological August average near 24°C and historical rarity of extremes above 27°C or below 22°C. With the date now past, SMN observations have resolved the outcome, producing near-certainty in the market. The only realistic challenges would involve station-specific discrepancies in the official daily maximum or post-event data revisions, though these remain low-probability given standardized reporting protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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